Postdoctoral Researcher · FGV Analytics
I study the causes and consequences of crime and violence using quantitative methods, with a focus on Brazil. My work examines criminal governance, police reform, and how illegal markets shape economic development in peripheral communities.
Pantaleão — the [ã] is nasal and hard for non-latinos. Call me Panta if you prefer.Criminal Governance
How organized crime groups create order and economic consequences in communities underserved by the state.
Police Reform & Violence
Evaluating data-driven policing, police autonomy, and institutional reform on homicide and public security.
Drug Policy & Illegal Markets
Cross-border spillovers of cannabis regulation, drug seizures, and narcotrafficking in South America.
Peace Dividends: Criminal Governance, Rational Violence, and Economic Development
Shows that a stable, hegemonic drug-trafficking organization generates measurable improvements in local employment and firm creation in peripheral Brazilian neighborhoods by providing predictable governance where the state is absent.
Forthcoming · World DevelopmentImproving Police Management Boosts Economic Development: Evidence from Brazil
Journal of Development EconomicsPolice Autonomy, Data-Driven Strategies, and Violence: Evidence from Brazil's Policing Reform
Latin American Politics and SocietyWhen Elections Empower Crime: Political Protection and Milícia Expansion in Rio de Janeiro